Ortmann vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
36
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 2
SCO
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 1
SPR
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 3
SVG
11%
23%
66%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 0
ARD
24%
24%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 3
KOT
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 1
SCR
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 2
ZWE
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 1
LAN
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 1
SCR
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |