Ortmann vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAF
4 - 1
SCO
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 0
SVH
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 2
KOT
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KRE
0 - 0
SCO
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 0
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 2
MIS
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MIS
3 - 0
SVH
63%
21%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 1
MIS
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
MIS
5 - 1
GOT
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |