Ortmann vs Götzendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
ARD
2 - 0
SCO
76%
16%
9%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 1
VOS
17%
23%
60%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 1
SCO
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 5
SOL
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
SCO
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Götzendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
GOT
3 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 1
GOT
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
GOT
0 - 1
SVH
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 2
GOT
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEO
3 - 1
GOT
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |