Ortmann vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 2
SCO
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
0 - 0
ZWE
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
3 - 5
SCH
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
KRE
10 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KRE
5 - 1
SCO
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GAF
2 - 1
SPR
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 4
GAF
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
GAF
1 - 0
KOT
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GAF
1 - 1
ARD
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
GAF
0 - 5
AUS
3%
8%
89%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | -1 |