Ortmann vs Schrems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
40
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 1
SCO
45%
23%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LAN
5 - 0
SCO
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAI
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 2
KOT
25%
23%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 1
SCO
36%
25%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 0
KOT
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 3
ASV
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 4
ZWE
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |