Olhanense vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
14º
13º
33
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
OLH
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
OLH
0 - 2
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
OLH
2 - 3
EDL
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
IMO
2 - 0
OLH
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OLH
1 - 1
PRA
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
FAB
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 0
SER
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
SER
19%
19%
62%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |