Neptunus-Schiebroek vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
RKD
1 - 2
SCN
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
5 - 0
SCN
35%
25%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -3 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SJC
1 - 3
SCN
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SCN
1 - 0
PFC
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 2
SCN
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 1
EXC
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SJC
2 - 0
EXC
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
MAG
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 0
EXC
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 3
KOC
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |