Neptunus-Schiebroek vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCN
2 - 0
GDA
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VUC
1 - 1
SCN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SJC
5 - 2
SCN
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SCN
4 - 0
HVV
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
UVS
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
EXC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 2
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VUC
4 - 0
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |