SC NEC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BEQ
3 - 1
SCN
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SCN
2 - 3
NIE
77%
14%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
RIG
0 - 3
SCN
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SCN
3 - 2
LON
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEB
5 - 0
SCN
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
HOO
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 3
OJC
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JUL
0 - 2
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIG
3 - 2
ALC
19%
23%
59%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 2
LON
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |