SC NEC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 2
SCN
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
HSC
6 - 0
SCN
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SCN
3 - 0
HOO
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BAB
0 - 1
SCN
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SCN
0 - 3
RKH
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROH
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
FVC
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HSC
0 - 1
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 2
HOO
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BAB
2 - 4
ALC
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |