Mils vs Zirl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SCM
1 - 1
EBB
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 2
SCM
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SCM
4 - 1
FCK
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KIR
0 - 3
SCM
48%
20%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SCM
0 - 4
IAC
56%
20%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zirl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 4
MOT
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ZIR
1 - 5
SCM
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
5 - 2
ZIR
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
EBB
6 - 1
ZIR
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZIR
0 - 3
STJ
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |