Mils vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
46.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
14º
13º
23
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 5
IAC
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
6 - 1
SCM
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
SCM
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
5 - 3
SCM
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WBO
4 - 2
SCM
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 0
VOL
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
EBB
3 - 6
WOR
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
FUG
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 5
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
KUN
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |