Mils vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
84%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
14º
13º
55
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 4
SCM
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SCM
0 - 2
WIN
4%
12%
84%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 2
SCM
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SCM
2 - 1
MOT
13%
15%
72%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KEM
1 - 0
SCM
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
WAT
2 - 1
VOL
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
EBB
0 - 5
WAT
10%
16%
74%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
WAT
2 - 1
FUG
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
WOR
1 - 5
WAT
9%
14%
77%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
WAT
1 - 2
STJ
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |