Mils vs Mayrhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
36
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
SCM
2 - 2
SCM
76%
13%
11%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EBB
3 - 1
SCM
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
SCM
32%
21%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
2 - 3
KIR
70%
15%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KEM
5 - 1
SCM
44%
21%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mayrhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 0
SVM
70%
16%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SVM
2 - 1
WIN
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SVI
0 - 1
SVM
47%
21%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WBO
5 - 1
SVM
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 8
SVM
62%
18%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |