Mils vs SK St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+153%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
48
1º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
SCM
57%
19%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
4 - 1
WIN
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVI
3 - 0
SCM
15%
16%
69%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCM
1 - 3
FCV
66%
17%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
6 - 2
WBO
81%
12%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SK St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STJ
5 - 2
KIR
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KEM
0 - 0
STJ
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
STJ
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 3
STJ
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 0
STJ
81%
15%
5%
|
21 | 61 | 40 | 0 |