Mils vs SC Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
30
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
EBB
3 - 1
SCM
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
SCM
32%
21%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
2 - 3
KIR
70%
15%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KEM
5 - 1
SCM
44%
21%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
4 - 3
STJ
64%
17%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCM
5 - 1
KIR
30%
20%
49%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 0
SCM
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
0 - 1
STJ
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 1
SCM
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
3 - 5
WIN
9%
17%
74%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |