Mils vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
14º
13º
23
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
4 - 0
SCM
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 3
EBB
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FUG
3 - 1
SCM
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 1
WOR
33%
21%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 5
IAC
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KUN
1 - 5
WAT
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 0
KUN
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KUN
5 - 2
TEL
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +4 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EBB
3 - 0
KUN
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FUG
2 - 3
KUN
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |