Mils vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
48
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
6 - 1
SCM
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCM
1 - 3
VOL
53%
20%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
SCM
74%
18%
9%
|
26 | 64 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 0
SVI
60%
18%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 3
SCM
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 3
KIR
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
UNI
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 1
KEM
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 3
VOL
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 5
CSK
7%
17%
76%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |