Mils vs Kematen analysis

Mils Kematen
22 ELO 25
12.2% Tilt 11.9%
10127º General ELO ranking 6006º
225º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Mils
20.6%
Draw
35.6%
Kematen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
Mils
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
35.6%
Win probability
Kematen
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mils
+29%
-4%
Kematen

Points and table prediction

Mils
Their league position
Kematen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
15º
48
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Völs
52
55
0%
Innsbrucker AC
52
55
0%
Volders
52
55
65%
Kematen
48
51
100%
SK St. Johann
48
51
100%
Ebbs
50
50
100%
Wacker Innsbruck
45
45
100%
Mils
43
43
100%
SPG Sprutz / Serfaus
41
41
0%
SV Oberperfuss
10º
38
41
10º
0%
Mayrhofen
11º
36
39
11º
100%
Natters
13º
32
35
12º
83%
Union Innsbruck
12º
34
34
13º
83%
SC Münster
14º
30
30
14º
100%
Kirchbichl
15º
27
27
15º
100%
SV Innsbruck
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mils
Kematen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mils
Kematen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mils
Mils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2022
STJ
SK St. Johann
6 - 1
Mils
SCM
30%
21%
49%
25 21 4 0
12 Aug. 2022
SCM
Mils
1 - 3
Völs
VOL
53%
20%
26%
26 26 0 -1
05 Aug. 2022
WIN
Wacker Innsbruck
1 - 1
Mils
SCM
74%
18%
9%
26 64 38 0
29 Jul. 2022
SCM
Mils
3 - 0
SV Innsbruck
SVI
60%
18%
22%
25 22 3 +1
18 Jun. 2022
FCK
Natters
2 - 3
Mils
SCM
22%
19%
59%
25 19 6 0

Matches

Kematen
Kematen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2022
KEM
Kematen
3 - 3
Kirchbichl
KIR
72%
16%
13%
25 19 6 0
12 Aug. 2022
KEM
Kematen
3 - 2
Union Innsbruck
UNI
50%
21%
29%
25 23 2 0
06 Aug. 2022
STJ
SK St. Johann
1 - 1
Kematen
KEM
30%
22%
48%
25 22 3 0
29 Jul. 2022
KEM
Kematen
3 - 3
Völs
VOL
48%
23%
30%
25 26 1 0
21 Jun. 2022
KEM
Kematen
3 - 5
CSKA Sofia
CSK
7%
17%
76%
25 77 52 0