Mils vs Volders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
63.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
14º
13º
31
2º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCM
0 - 3
KEM
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 1
KUN
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
4 - 0
SCM
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 3
EBB
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FUG
3 - 1
SCM
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Volders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 4
STJ
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
VOL
51%
22%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EBB
2 - 2
FCV
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
FUG
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 0
FCV
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |