SC Melle 03 vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Melle 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SCM
4 - 1
GWF
75%
14%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GWM
0 - 1
SCM
17%
19%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCM
0 - 0
WSV
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OYT
0 - 4
SCM
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 1
STE
84%
10%
5%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BWP
3 - 1
ESE
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
BWP
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BWP
3 - 0
SVH
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BWP
4 - 0
VIK
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BWP
3 - 2
HAN
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |