Almirante Barroso vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 2
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 1
LIT
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LIT
1 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
LIT
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
JAR
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |