Almirante Barroso vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 1
LIT
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LIT
4 - 0
POR
60%
19%
21%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
TUB
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
CAM
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
2 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |