Almirante Barroso vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
79.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIT
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
LIT
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 2
JEC
14%
20%
67%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
LIT
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 0
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 0
FFL
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 2
BRU
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 1
LON
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |