Catarinense 2 Final Stages Final
Global 3-2
Almirante Barroso vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 4
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
LIT
41%
24%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
2 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 0
FFC
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 4
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAC
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAC
26%
23%
52%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |