Almirante Barroso vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
LIT
17%
20%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LIT
1 - 1
TUB
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
LIT
19%
20%
61%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIT
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LIT
1 - 0
MAF
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 0
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 1
CAC
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |