Kirchberg vs Matrei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SVO
2 - 1
SCK
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SCK
0 - 9
FCW
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WOR
6 - 3
SCK
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
RUI
2 - 2
SCK
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SCK
0 - 1
JEN
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
1 - 2
FUG
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TEL
1 - 3
MAT
51%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SVL
0 - 1
MAT
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SVO
1 - 2
MAT
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MAT
1 - 2
FCW
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |