Kirchberg vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FCS
2 - 0
SCK
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SCK
1 - 2
HAL
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
IMS
5 - 0
SCK
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
SCK
2 - 4
MAT
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
SCK
2 - 0
RUI
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
KIT
1 - 0
SVI
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
TEL
2 - 1
KIT
19%
23%
59%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -3 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
KIT
0 - 0
KIR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
FUG
1 - 4
KIT
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |