Kirchberg vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVA
2 - 3
SCK
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
SCK
2 - 2
SVK
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
KUN
2 - 3
SCK
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SCK
2 - 2
SVI
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
IAC
1 - 3
SCK
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
KIR
5 - 3
FUG
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
TEL
1 - 3
KIR
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
KIR
3 - 1
MAT
39%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SVO
2 - 1
KIR
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KIR
1 - 1
FCW
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |