Jaraguá vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 5
CAC
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
IPO
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CAI
6 - 1
JAR
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 2
ATB
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CUI
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
REM
2 - 3
VIL
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
6 - 0
GOI
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |