Jaraguá vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 4
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
JAR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 3
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
URO
0 - 2
APA
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
APA
1 - 1
URO
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
JAR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
URO
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | +2 |