Jaraguá vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
JAR
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
TUB
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 1
BAR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
JAR
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIT
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LIT
1 - 0
MAF
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIT
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
LIT
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |