Jaraguá vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 3
HER
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 0
JAR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAC
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |