Jaraguá vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
65.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
JAR
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 2
JAR
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
TUB
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |