Jaraguá vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 2
JAR
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 4
APA
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 0
IPO
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAR
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 3
GOI
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
CLI
76%
15%
8%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
JCF
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
FAS
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |