Jaraguá vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
52.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
JAR
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
JAR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 4
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 3
HER
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 0
JAR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 2
JUV
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
FFC
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |