Jaraguá vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HER
7 - 1
JAR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
JAR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 1
MAF
16%
19%
64%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
1 - 1
FFC
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
JAR
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
2 - 0
FFC
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |