Herzogenburg vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LEO
1 - 1
SCH
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ASV
4 - 0
SCH
80%
14%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 0
SVH
47%
24%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SCR
2 - 1
SCH
84%
11%
4%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SVH
1 - 1
SCO
26%
24%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 4
SCR
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -3 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
GOT
0 - 2
SCO
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |