SC Guaraní vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
SCG
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SCG
2 - 2
MET
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
SCG
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 0
ULA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 1
DEP
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
URE
1 - 2
MIN
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
URE
2 - 0
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
URE
1 - 1
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 0
URE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
MET
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |