SC Guaraní vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
SCG
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
SCG
0 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
SCG
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
SCG
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SCG
0 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
MET
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
2 - 3
URE
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
POL
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
POL
3 - 4
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |