SC Guaraní vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
SCG
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 2
SCG
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 0
URE
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
SCG
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 1
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
ZAM
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
YAR
2 - 1
POL
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |