SC Guaraní vs Deportivo Lara II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 3
SCG
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
SCG
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
0 - 0
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
SCG
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 3
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
SCG
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |