Fussach vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
14º
13º
55
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fussach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AND
1 - 1
SCF
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 5
BIZ
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KBL
1 - 0
SCF
30%
21%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 1
FCH
33%
22%
46%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 2
SCF
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 3
NEN
10%
14%
76%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 3
NEN
21%
19%
60%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 1
LUD
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 3
NEN
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEN
0 - 0
ALB
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |