Fussach vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fussach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
SCG
3 - 1
SCF
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 1
SCF
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SCF
3 - 2
LOC
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SCF
0 - 0
BEZ
48%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NEN
2 - 6
SCF
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 3
BLA
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
4 - 4
FCR
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 1
ROT
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 0
LAN
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
SWB
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |