SC Freiburg vs Hoffenheim analysis

SC Freiburg Hoffenheim
89 ELO 86
-2% Tilt 12.8%
38º General ELO ranking 70º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
49.7%
SC Freiburg
23.4%
Draw
26.9%
Hoffenheim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
SC Freiburg
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
Hoffenheim
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

SC Freiburg
Their league position
Hoffenheim
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
10º
10º
46
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen
90
90
100%
Stuttgart
73
73
100%
Bayern München
72
72
100%
RB Leipzig
65
65
100%
B. Dortmund
63
63
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
47
47
100%
Hoffenheim
46
46
100%
Heidenheim
42
42
0%
Werder Bremen
42
42
0%
SC Freiburg
10º
42
42
10º
100%
FC Augsburg
11º
39
39
11º
100%
Wolfsburg
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Mainz 05
13º
35
35
13º
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Union Berlin
15º
33
33
15º
0%
VfL Bochum
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Köln
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Darmstadt 98
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SC Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SC Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
51%
24%
25%
88 86 2 0
06 Jan. 2024
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 5
SC Freiburg
SCF
41%
25%
34%
88 88 0 0
20 Dec. 2023
HEI
Heidenheim
3 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
25%
25%
51%
88 81 7 0
17 Dec. 2023
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
56%
22%
22%
88 84 4 0
14 Dec. 2023
WHU
West Ham
2 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
67%
19%
14%
88 93 5 0

Matches

Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
Hoffenheim
HOF
82%
12%
6%
86 97 11 0
06 Jan. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 0
Hoffenheim
HOF
28%
23%
50%
86 80 6 0
19 Dec. 2023
HOF
Hoffenheim
3 - 3
Darmstadt 98
DAR
62%
20%
19%
86 79 7 0
16 Dec. 2023
RBL
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
70%
17%
13%
86 93 7 0
08 Dec. 2023
HOF
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
61%
20%
19%
85 81 4 +1