SC Freiburg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
10º
5º
32
13º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 3
SCF
35%
24%
42%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 1
BOC
65%
20%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 0
SCF
78%
14%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
STU
32%
24%
45%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STP
0 - 0
RBL
8%
15%
77%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 1
STP
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STP
0 - 2
HEI
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 3
STP
9%
15%
77%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | +1 |