SC Freiburg vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
SCF
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
TSC
1 - 3
SCF
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
BOC
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BYM
3 - 0
SCF
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 2
WHU
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
STP
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EBT
1 - 3
PAD
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
S04
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
PAD
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |