Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-2
SC Freiburg vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
FEY
40%
24%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
2 - 0
KON
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
0 - 3
SVS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
FVS
0 - 11
SCF
3%
10%
87%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 8
SCF
4%
12%
84%
|
84 | 29 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
DOM
4 - 0
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
DOM
3 - 2
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
RUD
2 - 1
DOM
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
DOM
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
FLO
2 - 3
DOM
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |