SC Freiburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
10º
27
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
WHU
2 - 0
SCF
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 1
SCF
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
M05
0 - 1
SCF
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
5 - 0
OLP
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
DAR
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
M05
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
DAR
0 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
AUG
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |