Fortuna Köln U17 vs Paderborn U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
73.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
15º
15º
19
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PMU
2 - 0
SFK
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 3
MON
5%
11%
85%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
S04
3 - 0
SFK
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 7
ABI
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 5
COL
6%
12%
83%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCP
4 - 0
FOD
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SSI
2 - 3
SCP
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 5
BDO
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 0
SCP
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 1
VFB
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |