Fortuna Köln II vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
48
2º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MER
2 - 0
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
H05
0 - 1
SCF
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
4 - 3
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
3 - 2
H05
61%
20%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
USC
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
5 - 0
SPV
61%
18%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 3
WEG
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 1
VFL
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |